Jammu and Kashmir Assembly Election Exit Poll 2024: Voter Enthusiasm Post Article 370 Abrogation
The Jammu and Kashmir Assembly elections, held after nearly a decade since the abrogation of Article 370, witnessed a significant turnout, with voters participating enthusiastically across the 90 seats divided into three phases. While the official results for both the Jammu and Kashmir and Haryana Legislative Assemblies will be announced on October 8, exit poll figures were released today, October 5.
Exit Poll Predictions
- India Today-C Voter:
- Congress and NC Aghadi: 40 to 48 seats
- BJP: 27 to 32 seats
- PDP: 6 to 12 seats
- Independents: 6 to 11 seats
- India TV-CNX:
- BJP: 24 to 34 seats
- Congress-NC Aghadi: 35 to 45 seats
- PDP and Independents combined: 16 to 26 seats
- News 24 Chanakya:
- BJP: 23 to 27 seats
- Congress-NC Aghadi: 46 to 50 seats
- PDP: 7 to 11 seats
- Others: 4 to 6 seats
- Times Now:
- BJP: 28 to 30 seats
- Congress-NC alliance: 31 to 36 seats
- PDP: 5 to 7 seats
- Independents: 8 to 16 seats
- Republic TV-P Mark:
- BJP: 28 to 30 seats
- Congress-NC Aghadi: 31 to 36 seats
- PDP: 5 to 7 seats
- Independents: 8 to 16 seats
Understanding Exit Polls
An exit poll is an electoral survey conducted during the voting period by various organizations. These surveys estimate how many seats different parties will win and how many candidates from each party are expected to secure victory. They are often seen as a preliminary gauge of the election results before the official counting takes place.
Conclusion
The exit polls indicate a competitive landscape in Jammu and Kashmir, with the Congress and NC Aghadi potentially leading the charge against the BJP. The results will provide clarity on voter sentiment and the political direction of the region following significant changes over the past few years.
